The “reciprocal tariffs” policy (i.e., imposing tariffs at the same level as trade partners impose on the US) to be implemented by the US on April 2 may have complex effects on the cryptocurrency market https://julienrighisculpture.com/.
Trump administration’s tariff policies may exacerbate US inflation by increasing imported goods prices and reshaping global supply chains. According to calculations, if the general tariff rate reaches 15% or above, US core PCE inflation could rise to 3%, far exceeding the Fed’s 2.5% target. This will limit the Fed’s room for rate cuts, and may even force the Fed to maintain high rates longer, thereby suppressing the liquidity environment in the crypto world. But the contradiction is: if tariffs lead to increased recession risks, the Fed may be forced to cut rates earlier, and liquidity easing expectations may temporarily support the crypto market.
President Trump’s announcement of sweeping tariffs sparked fears of a global recession, which led to a sharp decline in the Australian dollar and also prompted risk-off sentiment across the asset classes. Crypto markets were also not spared, with Bitcoin experiencing a temporary price spike followed by a correction.
This is positive for the market because the direct impact of slowing balance sheet reduction is improved liquidity expectations. Slowing the reduction means reducing the speed at which liquidity is withdrawn from the market, equivalent to indirectly injecting more funds into the market. Historical experience shows that improved liquidity environments typically benefit risk assets like Bitcoin. This adjustment is interpreted by the market as a preventive measure by the Fed to avoid debt ceiling issues and potential economic pressures, potentially easing tight money market liquidity.
The impact of the April 2 tariff policy on the crypto world depends on the triangular game of inflation-liquidity-market sentiment. Short-term markets may show intense fluctuations, but medium to long-term trends need to observe whether the US economy falls into stagflation and the policy coordination of global central banks. Investors need to adjust strategies flexibly and grasp structural opportunities amid uncertainty.
If it meets or is lower than expected (e.g., core CPI ≤2.6%), it may boost rate cut expectations, driving funds into the crypto market, Bitcoin may break through the $90,000 resistance level, even testing the $100,000 mark.
The Pectra upgrade is Ethereum’s first major technical update in nearly 11 months, combining the “Prague” and “Electra” upgrade plans, mainly focusing on wallet experience optimization and validator mechanism reform. These improvements are believed to potentially attract more institutional and individual users, especially by lowering the staking threshold and enhancing wallet experience, directly benefiting Ethereum ecosystem adoption rates.
Cryptocurrency’s influence extends beyond finance, touching social and community aspects in April 2025. Blockchain is enabling transparent charitable donations, ensuring that funds reach their intended destinations. Communities around the globe are exploring crypto as a means to achieve financial inclusion, particularly in underbanked regions. Crypto education campaigns aim to demystify blockchain technologies, promoting wider adoption and understanding. Additionally, grassroots movements focus on promoting ethical mining practices and reducing barriers for entry. The decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies fosters a sense of empowerment, uniting diverse communities through shared digital experiences.

We believe the crypto bull market will persist until 2025, reaching its first peak in the first quarter. At the cycle’s peak, we project Bitcoin (BTC) to be valued at approximately $180,000, and Ethereum (ETH) to trade above $6,000.
Throughout 2025, SUI is predicted to trade between $2.44 and $8.80 based on SUI upward revised price targets (Oct 12th). Key drivers: institutional adoption and technological advancements. If market conditions remain favorable, SUI could experience significant growth.
The cryptocurrency landscape in May 2025 is characterized by significant growth, increased mainstream acceptance, and evolving challenges. As the market continues to mature, staying informed about these developments is crucial for investors and stakeholders aiming to navigate the dynamic world of digital assets effectively.
AI agents optimize results by autonomously adapting their strategies. Protocols like Virtuals already provide tools for anyone to create AI agents for on-chain tasks. Virtuals allows non-experts to access decentralized AI contributors, like tuners, dataset providers, and model developers, enabling anyone to create their own AI agents. This will result in a massive proliferation of agents, which creators can rent out to generate income.